Forex Fundamental Analysis - 21 February 2008





Thursday, February 21st, 2008 (4:30 a.m. New York Time) UK
At 4:30 a.m. we will have U.K. Retail Sales m/m coming out. It is expected to come out at 0.25% (some people say 0.2% and some 0.3%). If it comes out at 0 or negative, I think it would be a good sell signal on GBP/USD or GBP/JPY, looking for 50 pips of a price action in a first hour of the report. If it comes out at 0.5% or more positive, I would recommend to buy GBP/USD or GBP/JPY. For more details how the price moved in the past, please watch the video.

Thursday, February 21st, 2008 (8:30 a.m. New York Time) USA
At 8:30 a.m. we will have U.S. Initial Jobless Claims. It is expected to come out at 349 K. If it comes out at 370K or more, sell USD/JPY and look for 30 to 35 pips move. If it comes out at 330K or lower, I would buy USD/JPY and look for 30 to 35 pips move.


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