Forex Fundamental Analysis - 22 February 2008

Friday, February 22nd, 2008 (8:30 a.m. New York Time) CANADA
At 8:30 a.m. we will have Canadian Retail Sales coming out. I recommend trading the headline number but be aware if there is a conflict, the initial spike may be in direction of headline but then it may be muted or go the other way depending on numbers. I think 0.6 trigger can be used because every time we had 0.6 deviation or greater, we had pretty good price actions. It is expected it will came out at 0.7 (or sometimes 0.8). If the headline comes out at 1.4%, you may sell USD/CAD and look for 35 to 40 pips. If it comes out 0.2% or lower, you may want to buy USD/CAD and expect 35 to 40 pips in the first hour of the report.

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