Forex Fundamental Analysis - 03 January 2008



Fundamental Analysis



Thursday, January 3rd, 2008 (8:15 a.m. New York Time) USA
At 8:15 a.m. New York time we will have U.S. ADP Employment Change. That is expected to come out at 47.5 K, and I see 33K expected from another source so that numbers may change as we are approaching to the report. Last month it came out at 189K, and it was a great trade. To be safe, a reading of -20K or more negative would be weakening the U.S. dollar in general. A reading of 100K or higher would be strengthening the U.S. dollar. I would trade this on USD/JPY. I would look to buy USD/JPY on reading of 100K or higher, and sell USD/JPY on a reading of -20K or more negative.

Thursday, January 3rd, 2008 (8:30 a.m. New York Time) USA
Then at 8:30 a.m. New York time we will have U.S. Unemployment Claims which is expected to come out at 345K. It is a weekly indicator and recently more people are focused on it. If it comes out at 360K or higher, that should be weakening for the dollar, and it would constitute a sell signal on USD/JPY, good for 15 to 40 pips. If it comes out at 330K or lower, it would be strengthening the U.S. dollar, and it would be a buy signal on USD/JPY, good for 15 to 40 pips.



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