Forex Fundamental Analysis - 12 Desember 2007


Fundamental Analysis



Wednesday, December 12th, 2007 (4:30 a.m. New York Time) UK
We will start a day with UK Average Earnings Index + Bonuses. It is expected it will come out at 4.2% versus 4.1% last month. I think 0.3 deviation should be tradable so if it comes out at 4.5% or higher, that would be a buy signal on GBP/USD, and it may move about 30 pips in the first hour. On the other hand, if it comes out at 3.9% or lower, GBP/USD may go down 30 pips or so in the first hour of the report.

Wednesday, December 12th, 2007 (8:30 a.m. New York Time) USA/CANADA
Then we have trade balances out of U.S. and Canada. I would stay away from them. They are not tradable recently. If I see them working fine twice in a row, I might consider going back and trade them.

Wednesday, December 12th, 2007 (4:45 p.m. New York Time) NEW ZEALAND
Then we will have Retail Sales coming out of New Zealand. It is expected to come out at -0.1%. I think 0.6 trigger should be pretty decent. If it comes out at -0.7% or more negative, I think it would be a sell signal on NZD/USD. If it comes out at 0.5% or higher, it would be a buy signal on NZD/USD.

Wednesday, December 12th, 2007 (7:01 p.m. New York Time) UK
At 7.01 p.m. we will have RICS House Price Balance. Not really a tradable indicator but be aware of it when you are in your own trades.

Wednesday, December 12th, 2007 (7:30 p.m. New York Time) AUSTRALIA
At 7:30 p.m. we will have Australian Employment Change. It is expected to come out at 20 K. I think as long as unemployment rate does not conflict, at 15 K deviation either way should be enough. So if it comes out at 35K or higher, you may want to buy AUD/USD. If it comes out at 5K or lower, you may want to sell AUD/USD.

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